A dynasty model that shows its work.
Every number comes with its receipt, and the projection is validated against 24 years of history to beat the baseline.
See the accuracy scorecard ▸Projection vs baseline
+4.6%lower error than the 2-year weighted-average baseline
This model did not clear its pre-registered gate. Its own reasons are in the scorecard.
Out-of-sample AUC: cleared its floor, scored in the open.
Validated against 24 years, not promised.
We ran the model on 24 held-out seasons and publish the result in full: the wins, and the gates we haven't cleared. What stands below is read straight from the live scorecard, measured out-of-sample. No spin: the numbers are the model's own.
Most tools hand you a number. We hand you the receipt.
Every Dynasty DNA Value breaks down line by line, and the model's risk read is a place on a map: auditable, never a vibe.
- Baserecency-weighted recent PPG
- × Agespot on the position aging curve
- + Productionseason-over-season percentile slope
- + Trajectoryphase nudge, ascending or declining
- + Scarcityvalue above positional replacement
- + Draft capitalpedigree prior, fading with experience
Every line is checkable, and they sum to the raw score. No black box. The 0–10,000 Dynasty DNA Value is the next step: that score places the player on the market's own sorted value ladder, so the scale is the market's and the placement is ours.
Floor on the x-axis, ceiling on the y. Every player lands in one quadrant, each axis backed by its own receipt. A read, not an accuracy claim.
Real players. Real values. Free to browse.
Market values, position ranks, multi-year production, and weekly stats on every dynasty-relevant player, open to everyone. The Dynasty DNA Value unlocks with a free account.
Browse the player databaseConnect your league, and the model meets your roster.
The same glass-box engine, pointed at the teams you actually own: a Power Index that shows its math, team Blueprints, and a live trade calculator. Connecting a league is free; the Blueprint's full read is part of Pro.
Connect your league- The Assay
Power Index: who's actually best, every input shown.
- The Genome
Team Blueprints: your roster's edges, gaps, and next moves.
- The Splice
Trade calculator: value any offer against the model, live.
- Portfolio
Every team you own, across every league, in one view.
Your dynasty, decoded.
Free shows the number: every player's owned numbers, no card. Pro shows the why: the waterfall, the trajectory, and the projection band. Renews automatically at $7/mo until you cancel. Cancel anytime; access continues to the end of the paid period. Full terms.
See pricing ▸