Dynasty DNA
Dynasty DNA · Glass-box player modeling

A dynasty model that shows its work.

Every number comes with its receipt — and the projection is validated against 24 years of history to beat the baseline.

See the accuracy scorecard ▸
Backtest · 24 seasons, walk-forwardValidated

Projection vs baseline

+4.3%

lower error than the 2-year weighted-average baseline

Folds improved24 / 24
Dynasty DNA Value
2×

top-decile production lift

Breakout / bust
Validated

Out-of-sample AUC — cleared its floor, scored in the open.

Proof · today

Validated against 24 years — not promised.

We ran the model on a quarter-century of held-out seasons and publish the result in full — the wins, and the gates we haven't cleared. These two are read straight from the live scorecard, measured out-of-sample. No spin: the numbers are the model's own.

Reading the scorecard…
See the full scorecard — wins and shortfalls ▸
Glass-box

Most tools hand you a number. We hand you the receipt.

Every Dynasty DNA Value breaks down line by line, and the model's risk read is a place on a map — auditable, never a vibe.

Dynasty DNA Valuereceipt
  • Baserecency-weighted recent PPG
  • × Agespot on the position aging curve
  • + Productionseason-over-season percentile slope
  • + Opportunitysnap share vs a neutral baseline
  • + Scarcityvalue above positional replacement
  • − Riskage & availability discount
= Dynasty DNA Value 0–10,000

Every line is checkable, and they sum to the number — no black box. The live figures are free with an account.

The risk · Peak ↔ Reliabilitythe read
Boom / busthigh ceiling · low floorCornerstonehigh ceiling · high floorSpeculativelow ceiling · low floorSteady floorlow ceiling · high floorceiling ↑floor →

Floor on the x-axis, ceiling on the y — every player lands in one quadrant, each axis backed by its own receipt. A read, not an accuracy claim.

See it live on any player's Strand ▸

The Library

Real players. Real values. Free to browse.

Market values, position ranks, multi-year production, and weekly stats on every dynasty-relevant player — open to everyone. The Dynasty DNA Value unlocks with a free account.

Browse the player database
Top by market value · superflexLIVE
Make it yours

Connect your league, and the model meets your roster.

The same glass-box engine, pointed at the teams you actually own — a Power Index that shows its math, team Blueprints, and a live trade calculator. Connecting a league is free; the Blueprint's full read is part of Pro.

Connect your league
  • The Assay

    Power Index — who's actually best, every input shown.

  • The Genome

    Team Blueprints — your roster's edges, gaps, and next moves.

  • The Splice

    Trade calculator — value any offer against the model, live.

  • Portfolio

    Every team you own, across every league, in one view.

Your dynasty, decoded.

Free shows the number — every player's owned numbers, no card. Pro shows the why — the waterfall, the trajectory, the projection band — for $7/mo.

See pricing ▸